Commentary: HCB

Canadian Banks: Three Vulnerable Loan Exposures (in Charts)

In our Insight, Financials: Does COVID-19 Represent a Growth Scare, Credit Event or Crisis (March 25, 2020), we discussed the implications of the global economy moving swiftly into an undetermined period of negative economic growth. For the banks, we fully expect the result will be a credit cycle. Although the peak of losses and the duration are very much unknown, we believe this credit cycle is likely…

Hamilton ETFs Announces Proposed Merger of Hamilton Canadian Bank Variable-Weight ETF into Hamilton Canadian Bank Mean Reversion Index ETF

Toronto, Ontario – April 28, 2020 – Hamilton Capital Partners Inc. (“Hamilton ETFs”) is pleased to announce the next phase of enhancements to its investment fund platform. Subject to all required unitholder and regulatory approvals, Hamilton ETFs is proposing to merge (the “Merger”) Hamilton Canadian Bank Variable-Weight ETF (TSX: HCB, the “Terminating Fund”) into Hamilton Canadian Bank Mean Reversion Index ETF (proposed TSX ticker: HCA, the…

Cdn/Aust’n Financials: Fraternal Twins w/ Low Correlations & Near Identical Risk Rewards

The Australian financial sector is among the highest quality and strongest in the world. It is also very similar to the Canadian financial sector. Arguably, there are no two financial sectors globally that more closely resemble each other than Canada and Australia. A desire to provide Canadians with exposure to this great sector is why we launched the Hamilton Australian Financials Yield ETF (HFA), which has…

Scotia’s Pacific Alliance and Five Takeaways on Global Growth

Last week, Bank of Nova Scotia reported its Q3 results and its International Banking division generated solid double-digit earnings growth, supported by a strong economic backdrop and acquisitions. Within this segment is the Bank’s operations in the Pacific Alliance, the Latin American trade bloc that includes Peru, Chile, Columbia, and Mexico. This very large emerging markets platform has over $100 bln in loans, generates earnings of…

Canadian Banks: Why Volatility Will Likely Rise (and a Comment on Mean Reversion)

In October 2018, we launched the Hamilton Capital Canadian Bank Variable-Weight ETF (ticker: HCB), which seeks to benefit from the historical mean reversion tendencies of the Big-6 banks, especially in times of greater market volatility. At the end of each month, the three most oversold banks are rebalanced to represent ~80% of HCB, while the three most overbought banks are rebalanced to 20%. HCB’s objective is…

Cdn/Aust’n Banks: Why the Big Housing Short is So Difficult (and the Risk of a “Direct Hit” Remains Low)

In Q4 2018, we expanded our ETF offering to include two ETFs with monthly distributions and exposure to two world-class – and very similar – financial sectors with excellent performance histories. In October, we launched the Hamilton Capital Canadian Bank Variable-Weight ETF (HCB), a rules-based strategy that seeks to capitalize on the historical mean reversion tendencies of the Canadian banking sector[1]. In December, we launched the…

Canadian Banks: Five Takeaways from BBT/STI, Accelerating U.S. Bank M&A

Last week, in our insight “U.S. Bank M&A: Implications of the Largest Deal in a Decade”, we explained why we expect U.S. bank consolidation will accelerate following the BB&T/SunTrust merger, and reasons why such activity will predominately be within the small and mid-cap banks. In this insight, we offer five takeaways for the Canadian banks – BMO, CM, RY, and TD – and their U.S. expansion…

Pref ETFs Falter (Again): Why HFA/HCB are Logical Switch Candidates for Monthly Income

Following our October launch of the Hamilton Capital Canadian Bank Variable-Weight ETF (HCB), today we launched the Hamilton Capital Australian Financials Yield ETF (HFA). Both of these ETFs pay monthly dividends. HFA seeks to generate a yield of 6.5% or higher from a portfolio of higher dividend-paying Australian financials operating in arguably the world’s strongest and safest financial sector (aided by covered calls). Of note, the…

HCB: A New Strategy for Bank Investors (Wealth Professional Article)

Wealth Professional interviewed Rob Wessel, Managing Partner at Hamilton Capital, following the launch of the Hamilton Capital Canadian Bank Variable-Weight ETF (HCB). The interview covers mean reversion trends and how they are incorporated into HCB, how the strategy might lower risk in period of market turbulence. Click here to read more.

Notes from Chicago: Opinions on the Canadian Banks (part 1)

We recently met with the top management of four Chicago-headquartered U.S. mid-cap banks (see related October 9, 2018 “Notes from Chicago – Three Takeaways from the Windy City (Part 2)”). Given their large presence in this giant MSA, it was not surprising that the Canadian banks and their speculated U.S. expansion plans were a frequent discussion topic. Chicago is the single most important market to Canadian…

Globe & Mail on HCB: Unique Canadian Bank ETF

The Globe & Mail was quick to cover our latest ETF, the Hamilton Capital Canadian Bank Variable-Weight ETF (HCB), launched on October 1, 2018. The article explains how a mean-reversion strategy can offer long-term performance and reduced risk, referencing 3rd party backtesting of an almost identical strategy. HCB offers Canadian investors a smart mean-reversion approach to owning Canada’s “Big Six” banks, in a convenient, low-fee ETF.…

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