Insights: Canada

Canadian Banks: Are Analysts Underestimating the Recovery (Again)?

In our October webcast, “Canadian Banks – Credit Cycle is (Basically) Over”, we correctly predicted that reserve builds for the Canadian banks would peak in Q4-20, and that the recovery would begin in Q1-21. In fact, we launched the Hamilton Enhanced Canadian Bank ETF (HCAL)[1] in October 2020 to give investors a vehicle to capitalize more fully on this recovery while at the same time benefiting…

Canadian Banks: Q1-21 Takeaways – One Catalyst Down, Two to Go

In October 2020, we launched the Hamilton Enhanced Canadian Bank ETF (ticker: HCAL), a modestly levered version of our Canadian bank mean reversion strategy ETF (ticker: HCA), in anticipation of a credit-driven recovery for Canadian bank earnings and stocks. In our view, with its 25% leverage, HCAL offers investors an opportunity to benefit as the recovery gains traction (in the near-to-medium term), as well as for…

Fintech/Cdn Banks: Can Standalone Digital Banks Disrupt the Incumbents?

In the coming weeks, we will publish a series of insights on financial innovation discussing several powerful secular trends relating to financial technology/innovation and its impact on the global financial services sector. We will also review how these trends influence the investment strategy of the Hamilton Financials Innovation ETF (HFT). Part I: Can Standalone Digital Banks Disrupt the Incumbents? Part II: Four Themes Driving Innovation in…

Canadian Banks: Q4-2020 Takeaways – Recovery Has Started; What’s Next?

In late October, with earnings season approaching, we wrote an insight entitled, “Canadian Banks: Will Q4 Be a ‘Clean-up’ Quarter?”. In that note, we predicted the banks would take steps to accelerate their return to normalized earnings by: (i) building reserves against performing loans (by to $2-$3 bln, to ~$25 bln) in order to prepare for defaults coming in 2021, and (ii) pulling forward expenses, possibly…

Global Financials: The Most Attractive/Important Investment Themes in 2021

Hamilton Global Financials ETF (HFG), which launched on June 26, 2020, is focused on investing in high quality global financial stocks with strong balance sheets, diversified income streams and exposure to favorable, medium- and long-term cyclical and secular trends. This focus aims to provide Canadian investors with diversified exposure to the most attractive themes within the global financial sector while maintaining a volatility profile not materially…

BNN Bloomberg: HSBC Canada reports negative loan loss provisions in encouraging sign for Canadian banks

HSBC Bank Canada sent an encouraging signal for Q3 earnings of Canadian banks by releasing $2 mln of reserves for loan losses. Rob Wessel, Managing Partner of Hamilton ETFs, was quoted by BNN Bloomberg as saying “negative provisions are the likely outcome once the Canadian banks begin to reflect their changing/improving economic assumptions in their reserves.” Click here to read the full article.    

Canadian Banks: Will Q4 be a ‘Clean-up’ Quarter?

Note to Reader: We are pleased to announce the launch of the Hamilton Enhanced Canadian Bank ETF (HCAL), which began trading on the TSX on Thursday, October 15th and has a current yield of ~6.5%. HCAL invests 125% of NAV into the Hamilton Canadian Bank Mean Reversion ETF (HCA) using cash borrowed from a Canadian financial institution. The underlying – and unlevered – HCA seeks to…

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