At the end of August, the S&P/TSX Canadian Diversified Bank Total Return Index (“Canadian bank index”) was lower versus two years earlier – a rare event. In fact, since its inception in May 2002, the Canadian bank index has had a negative rolling two-year return at just 24 month-ends (out of 232 month-ends)[1]. Historically, such an occurrence has represented a buying opportunity. Over the same 20+…
Insights: Canada
Canadian Banks: Three Ways the Banks Might “Clean Up” fQ4 (and Improve f2024)
The Canadian bank index is at roughly the same level it was two years ago – a very rare event[1]. Coming out of COVID, the sector rallied to a new peak in February 2022 when inflationary concerns took the index down over 20% in the following months, to levels it has remained on and off since. Part of the reason Canadian bank stocks have not risen…
Canadian Banks Q3 2023 Takeaways (BNN)
Rob Wessel was on BNN Bloomberg discussing the latest reporting results for the Canadian banks. More specifically, Rob provided his thoughts on how despite Canadian banks being flat over the last two years, the group is well positioned for a strong 2024 and how historically, buying the banks at these discounted valuations has proven to be an attractive opportunity for long-term investors. Canadian Banks Positioned for a…
Video: Canadian Banks – Weathering the Storm (15 min)
Watch our latest Q&A video update on the Canadian banks with Rob Wessel. In this 15-minute video, Rob provides our key takeaways from Q2 earnings, thoughts on depressed valuations, and potential risks/catalysts for the sector moving forward. Disclaimer: Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with an investment in exchange traded funds (ETFs) managed by Hamilton ETFs.…
Canadian Banks: Q2 Takeaways (BNN)
Rob Wessel was on BNN Bloomberg discussing the latest reporting results for the Canadian banks. More specifically, Rob provided his thoughts on: (i) rising loan loss provisions and whether credit is deteriorating or normalizing; (ii) bank valuations and the ongoing tug of war between analysts and the market; and (iii) TD’s profit warning amidst the current macro environment. Credit is normalizing; Banks are Missing Estimates on…
Market Outlook with Ed Yardeni
On May 11th, 2023, we hosted a Q&A webcast with prominent Wall Street strategist Ed Yardeni, moderated by Rob Wessel. Throughout, Rob asked Ed for his thoughts on (i) U.S. equity markets and why he believes the S&P 500 bottomed on October 12, 2022; (ii) implications of changes in fiscal/monetary policy; (iii) recent events in the U.S. banking sector; (iv) what the yield curve is actually predicting and his…
Video: Canadian Banks – What’s Next?
Watch our 15-minute Q&A video below with Rob Wessel on the Canadian banks, where we discuss key issues including macro volatility, depressed valuations, and recent events in the U.S. CLICK HERE for information on HEB, the lowest-fee Canadian bank ETF. Disclaimer: Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with an investment in exchange traded funds (ETFs) managed by Hamilton ETFs. Please read the…
Canadian Banks: Opportunities and Risks in 2023
The Canadian banks had a very tough 2022 falling 8.9% – just the 5th decline in the last 20 years, which includes financial crisis years of 2007 and 2008[1] (the sector even rose 3.8% in 2020, despite COVID). The main reason for the decline last year was falling price-to-earnings multiples caused by the market’s concern that global central banks could cause a recession by aggressively raising…
HFG – Top Performing Global Financials ETF in Canada
Our Hamilton Global Financials ETF (HFG) was the top performing ETF in its category in 2022 and outperformed its domestic competitors and the iShares Global Financials ETF (IXG) over the last two years. During that period, HFG generated a total return of 17.5%, beating every competitor ETF by at least 2.8%[1]. Importantly, not only did HFG outperform its competitor global financials ETFs and the index in…
Market Outlook with Ed Yardeni
On October 13, 2022, we hosted a Market Outlook with Ed Yardeni, moderated by Rob Wessel, in which the prominent Wall Street strategist provided his outlook on U.S. and global equity markets, preferred sectors, the current geopolitical environment, and the implications of changing fiscal/monetary policy. Please register below to access the replay (58 min). Disclaimer: Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with an investment…
Canadian Bank CEO Event with RBC & TD
On June 9, 2022, we hosted a panel discussion on the Canadian banks with Dave McKay and Bharat Masrani, CEOs of Royal Bank and TD Bank, respectively. During the panel discussion, the CEOs discussed their views on a variety of topics, including the current macro environment, domestic banking, housing, consumer debt, and their international platforms. Disclaimer: Commissions, trailing commissions, management fees and expenses all…
Canadian Banks: TD Buys FHN – A Very Strong Fit
After much speculation in recent years about its appetite for additional U.S. bank M&A, TD offered ~US$13.4 bln in cash to buy First Horizon Corporation (FHN)[1], a Tennessee-based regional bank, in late February, almost 15 years since its last “large” U.S. bank acquisition – Commerce Bancorp. In our view, the acquisition offers many strategic benefits given FHN: (i) is an optimal size, adding material scale with…