Insights: Subsector

Canadian Banks: Rob Wessel on BNN Bloomberg

Rob Wessel was on BNN Bloomberg last week for the beginning of Canadian bank earnings to discuss TD Bank results and what they could mean for the rest of the group. He also provided his thoughts on: (i) TD Bank’s anti-money laundering probe; (ii) risks of mortgage resets; and (iii) the catalysts needed to drive better performance from Canadian bank stocks going forward. BNN Bloomberg: Rob…

U.S. Mid-Cap Financials — HUM Outperforms with Considerable Recovery Upside Remaining

The U.S. financials have been showing strong momentum this year outperforming the S&P 500[1], fueled by increased economic optimism and investor sentiment. The Hamilton U.S. Mid-Cap Financials ETF (HUM) has been the top performing U.S. financials/ banks ETFs in Canada since inception (see below). That said, following earnings season, the large-cap financials, which typically set the tone for the rest of the sector, are leading the…

The Case for Australian Banks in Canadian Portfolios

It is well known that Canadian investors favour their domestic banking oligopoly for its history of solid growth and stable dividends. What is less well known is that Australia is home to one of the world’s best banking sectors, with nearly identical long-term returns and dividends to those of the Canadian banks. A desire to provide investors with diversification to another world class banking sector in…

HFG — The Secret Bull Market in Global Financials

The Hamilton Global Financials ETF (HFG) continues to benefit from excellent performance, having materially outperformed Canadian financials in the last 1, 2, and 3-year periods with lower volatility. Despite the global financial sector’s strong performance over the last six months, there has been remarkably little discussion about it as current interests (AI, the “magnificent 7”, and a fixation on the Federal Reserve/the path for interest rates)…

Canadian Banks: History Points to a Stronger 2024 (After Two Tough Years)

At the end of August, the S&P/TSX Canadian Diversified Bank Total Return Index (“Canadian bank index”) was lower versus two years earlier – a rare event. In fact, since its inception in May 2002, the Canadian bank index has had a negative rolling two-year return at just 24 month-ends (out of 232 month-ends)[1]. Historically, such an occurrence has represented a buying opportunity. Over the same 20+…

Canadian Banks: Three Ways the Banks Might “Clean Up” fQ4 (and Improve f2024)

The Canadian bank index is at roughly the same level it was two years ago – a very rare event[1]. Coming out of COVID, the sector rallied to a new peak in February 2022 when inflationary concerns took the index down over 20% in the following months, to levels it has remained on and off since. Part of the reason Canadian bank stocks have not risen…

Canadian Banks: Opportunities and Risks in 2023

The Canadian banks had a very tough 2022 falling 8.9% – just the 5th decline in the last 20 years, which includes financial crisis years of 2007 and 2008[1] (the sector even rose 3.8% in 2020, despite COVID). The main reason for the decline last year was falling price-to-earnings multiples caused by the market’s concern that global central banks could cause a recession by aggressively raising…

U.S. Financials: Mid-Caps Look Attractive, Despite Clouds (4 Reasons to Invest)

The U.S. mid-cap financials held up very well in 2022, in what was a very difficult year for the global financials. Risks that had not been seen for decades – like inflation – have returned, and the market’s fears that rising central bank rates could trigger a recession remain high. This has resulted in significant compression in price-to-earnings multiples as the market anticipates clouds ahead. Yet,…

HBA – Top Performing Financials ETF in Canada (and 5 Reasons to Invest)

In 2022, our blue-chip Hamilton Australian Banks Equal Weight Index ETF (HBA) outperformed its 38 competitor financials ETFs, by rising ~1%, making it the top performing financials ETF in Canada – foreign or domestic[1]. This is the second year in a row that Hamilton ETFs had the top performing financials ETF in Canada[2]. In fact, HBA – which has a yield of 5.8% – was the…

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