Insights & Commentary

U.S. Banks: The Return of M&A – A Clear Sign of Bankers’ Conviction in the Recovery

All values in U.S. dollars unless otherwise noted. As the year draws to a close, the whipsaw nature of 2020 will not soon be forgotten. When the pandemic struck earlier this year and businesses shuttered under direct orders by various governments, how long and how deep the resulting global economic downturn would be was next to impossible to forecast with any sense of accuracy. As businesses…

Canadian Banks: Q4-2020 Takeaways – Recovery Has Started; What’s Next?

In late October, with earnings season approaching, we wrote an insight entitled, “Canadian Banks: Will Q4 Be a ‘Clean-up’ Quarter?”. In that note, we predicted the banks would take steps to accelerate their return to normalized earnings by: (i) building reserves against performing loans (by to $2-$3 bln, to ~$25 bln) in order to prepare for defaults coming in 2021, and (ii) pulling forward expenses, possibly…

Hamilton Financials Innovation ETF: Invest in Digital Leaders Reshaping the Financial Sector

When most investors think of the financial sector, they think about the traditional financial subsectors, like commercial banks, investment banks, and insurance. However, the rapid advancement of technological innovation has created an entirely new category of financials and transformed others. In our view, this category has become so large and established that it should comprise a material portion within all investors’ financial sector equity allocations. Not…

Global Financials: The Most Attractive/Important Investment Themes in 2021

Hamilton Global Financials ETF (HFG), which launched on June 26, 2020, is focused on investing in high quality global financial stocks with strong balance sheets, diversified income streams and exposure to favorable, medium- and long-term cyclical and secular trends. This focus aims to provide Canadian investors with diversified exposure to the most attractive themes within the global financial sector while maintaining a volatility profile not materially…

Canadian Banks: Will Q4 be a ‘Clean-up’ Quarter?

Note to Reader: We are pleased to announce the launch of the Hamilton Canadian Bank 1.25x Leverage ETF (HCAL), which began trading on the TSX on Thursday, October 15th and has a current yield of ~6.5%. HCAL invests 125% of NAV into the Hamilton Canadian Bank Mean Reversion ETF (HCA) using cash borrowed from a Canadian financial institution. The underlying – and unlevered – HCA seeks…

Hamilton ETFs Launches Hamilton Canadian Bank 1.25x Leverage ETF

TORONTO, October 14, 2020 – Hamilton Capital Partners Inc. (“Hamilton ETFs“) is pleased to announce the launch of the Hamilton Canadian Bank 1.25x Leverage ETF (“HCAL“). HCAL seeks to replicate, to the extent reasonably possible and before the deduction of fees and expenses, a 1.25 times multiple of the Solactive Canadian Bank Mean Reversion Index. HCAL has closed the offering of its initial units. Units of…

Hamilton Canadian Bank 1.25x Leverage ETF (HCAL) – Get More from the Canadian Banks

We are excited to announce the launch of the Hamilton Canadian Bank 1.25x Leverage ETF, which will begin trading on the TSX under the ticker HCAL on Thursday, October 15th. HCAL will provide exposure to Canada’s ‘big 6’ banks, with enhanced yield and return potential, with distributions paid monthly. HCAL builds on our innovative Canadian Bank mean reversion strategy. Specifically, HCAL’s investment objective is to replicate, before…

Australian Banks: Entering Recovery Stage of Credit Cycle (in 6 Charts)

In this insight, we share 6 charts that, in our view, indicate that the Australian banking sector – one of the world’s strongest – has entered the recovery stage of the credit cycle, which should be supportive of share prices. In the past, we have described the Canadian and Australian banking sectors as being akin to fraternal twins given their significant similarities, as well as those…

Australian Banks: Outperformance vs Canada (akin to Canadian Bank #4)

In this insight we review the performance of the Australian banks versus the Canadian banks and discuss why Canadian bank investors should consider the Hamilton Australian Bank Equal-Weight Index ETF (ticker: HBA). Launched on June 29, 2020, HBA aims to replicate (net of fees) the performance of the Solactive Australian Bank Equal-Weight Index TR (SOLBAEWT) and is currency hedged. The SOLBAEWT index, which tracks the performance…

Hamilton Global Financials ETF (HFG): Merging Two Global ETFs with Material Outperformance

On June 29, 2020, the Hamilton Global Financials ETF will begin trading on the TSX under the ticker HFG. This new ETF will have a lower management fee and will be the result of a merger between the Hamilton Global Bank ETF (HBG) and the Hamilton Global Financials Yield ETF (HFY) – both of which have experienced material outperformance. Since its launch in January 2016, the Hamilton…

Canadian Banks: Outperformance from Mean Reversion (in 7 Charts)

As all Canadian investors know, the stock prices of the Canadian banks are highly correlated, and the individual banks have generated similar returns over long periods of time. Over the past several decades, the Canadian banks that have underperformed tended to catch up to those that outperformed, and vice versa – i.e., their performance was “mean reverting”. In this Insight, we discuss these mean reversion tendencies…

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